NZ NEEDS CHINA AND THE US TO DO A DEAL

A top expert on the US- China relationship says New Zealand and Australia do not want to have to choose between the two countries.

Hugh White is the Professor of Strategic Studies at the Australia National University and the author of numerous studies on China’s role in Asia and a frequent visitor to New Zealand told the 50^th Otago University Foreign Policy School over the weekend that we were now seeing the greatest redistribution of wealth in the world since the industrial revolution.

Within 15 years China’s economy could surpass that of America.

“And in the end wealth is power,” he said.

And he said that was how Britain came to dominate global politics during the 19^th century.

”You’ve got to ask yourself why the same thing won’t happen again.”

He said recent events had been a turning point in China’s relationship with the world.

First was the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank which challenged the United States’ leadership of world financial institutions.

And within the last few months, “weeks even”, China’s actions in the South China Sea have directly challenged the United States post War primacy in the region.

“By deliberately acting so assertively and with armed force against the interests of United States’ friends and allies in the region, China is challenging America’s capacity to exercise its maritime power and the effect is to undermine the United States capacity to protect its friends and allies.”

But Professor White said China was not acting recklessly.

“They think the United States is going to back off.”

He said the escalating rivalry between China and the US was not something for the future.

“It is what is happening right now.”

What made it more dangerous was the United States also thinking China would back down.

Turning to Australia and New Zealand he said their approach to China had diverged over recent years.

New Zealand’s attitude had been more globally focussed whilst Australia had been more regionally focussed.

Australia was also part of ANZUS which President Obama had confirmed to the Australian Parliament was now a Treaty aimed at China.

But he said Australia was in denial and was trying to work both sides of the street.

However he thought the two countries would now come closer together on policy towards China.

“We want the United States and China to do a deal,” he said.

“It will be very hard and require real concessions [particularly about the US role in the region.”

China was a recurring theme at the School which attracted a host of academics and diplomats all looking sat New Zealand’s role in the world.

That New Zealand assumes the Presidency of the Security Council this Wednesday gave many of the discussions a real focus.

And some speakers contested the idea that New Zealand was a small country.

Professor Patrick Koellner from Germany’s Institute of Global and Asian Studies pointed out that if it was in Europe it would the eight biggest land area in the European Union.  

But it was Professor White who possibly sounded the most urgent alarm about New Zealand’s foreign policy.

The world’s next great power rivalry was happening right in our own region.A top expert on the US- China relationship says New Zealand and Australia do not want to have to choose between the two countries.

Hugh White is the Professor of Strategic Studies at the Australia National University and the author of numerous studies on China’s role in Asia and a frequent visitor to New Zealand told the 50^th Otago University Foreign Policy School over the weekend that we were now seeing the greatest redistribution of wealth in the world since the industrial revolution.

Within 15 years China’s economy could surpass that of America.

“And in the end wealth is power,” he said.

And he said that was how Britain came to dominate global politics during the 19^th century.

”You’ve got to ask yourself why the same thing won’t happen again.”

He said recent events had been a turning point in China’s relationship with the world.

First was the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank which challenged the United States’ leadership of world financial institutions.

And within the last few months, “weeks even”, China’s actions in the South China Sea have directly challenged the United States post War primacy in the region.

“By deliberately acting so assertively and with armed force against the interests of United States’ friends and allies in the region, China is challenging America’s capacity to exercise its maritime power and the effect is to undermine the United States capacity to protect its friends and allies.”

But Professor White said China was not acting recklessly.

“They think the United States is going to back off.”

He said the escalating rivalry between China and the US was not something for the future.

“It is what is happening right now.”

What made it more dangerous was the United States also thinking China would back down.

Turning to Australia and New Zealand he said their approach to China had diverged over recent years.

New Zealand’s attitude had been more globally focussed whilst Australia had been more regionally focussed.

Australia was also part of ANZUS which President Obama had confirmed to the Australian Parliament was now a Treaty aimed at China.

But he said Australia was in denial and was trying to work both sides of the street.

However he thought the two countries would now come closer together on policy towards China.

“We want the United States and China to do a deal,” he said.

“It will be very hard and require real concessions [particularly about the US role in the region.”

China was a recurring theme at the School which attracted a host of academics and diplomats all looking sat New Zealand’s role in the world.

That New Zealand assumes the Presidency of the Security Council this Wednesday gave many of the discussions a real focus.

And some speakers contested the idea that New Zealand was a small country.

Professor Patrick Koellner from Germany’s Institute of Global and Asian Studies pointed out that if it was in Europe it would the eight biggest land area in the European Union.  

But it was Professor White who possibly sounded the most urgent alarm about New Zealand’s foreign policy.

The world’s next great power rivalry was happening right in our own region.A top expert on the US- China relationship says New Zealand and Australia do not want to have to choose between the two countries.

Hugh White is the Professor of Strategic Studies at the Australia National University and the author of numerous studies on China’s role in Asia and a frequent visitor to New Zealand told the 50^th Otago University Foreign Policy School over the weekend that we were now seeing the greatest redistribution of wealth in the world since the industrial revolution.

Within 15 years China’s economy could surpass that of America.

“And in the end wealth is power,” he said.

And he said that was how Britain came to dominate global politics during the 19^th century.

”You’ve got to ask yourself why the same thing won’t happen again.”

He said recent events had been a turning point in China’s relationship with the world.

First was the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank which challenged the United States’ leadership of world financial institutions.

And within the last few months, “weeks even”, China’s actions in the South China Sea have directly challenged the United States post War primacy in the region.

“By deliberately acting so assertively and with armed force against the interests of United States’ friends and allies in the region, China is challenging America’s capacity to exercise its maritime power and the effect is to undermine the United States capacity to protect its friends and allies.”

But Professor White said China was not acting recklessly.

“They think the United States is going to back off.”

He said the escalating rivalry between China and the US was not something for the future.

“It is what is happening right now.”

What made it more dangerous was the United States also thinking China would back down.

Turning to Australia and New Zealand he said their approach to China had diverged over recent years.

New Zealand’s attitude had been more globally focussed whilst Australia had been more regionally focussed.

Australia was also part of ANZUS which President Obama had confirmed to the Australian Parliament was now a Treaty aimed at China.

But he said Australia was in denial and was trying to work both sides of the street.

However he thought the two countries would now come closer together on policy towards China.

“We want the United States and China to do a deal,” he said.

“It will be very hard and require real concessions [particularly about the US role in the region.”

China was a recurring theme at the School which attracted a host of academics and diplomats all looking sat New Zealand’s role in the world.

That New Zealand assumes the Presidency of the Security Council this Wednesday gave many of the discussions a real focus.

And some speakers contested the idea that New Zealand was a small country.

Professor Patrick Koellner from Germany’s Institute of Global and Asian Studies pointed out that if it was in Europe it would the eight biggest land area in the European Union.  

But it was Professor White who possibly sounded the most urgent alarm about New Zealand’s foreign policy.

The world’s next great power rivalry was happening right in our own region.A top expert on the US- China relationship says New Zealand and Australia do not want to have to choose between the two countries.

Hugh White is the Professor of Strategic Studies at the Australia National University and the author of numerous studies on China’s role in Asia and a frequent visitor to New Zealand told the 50^th Otago University Foreign Policy School over the weekend that we were now seeing the greatest redistribution of wealth in the world since the industrial revolution.

Within 15 years China’s economy could surpass that of America.

“And in the end wealth is power,” he said.

And he said that was how Britain came to dominate global politics during the 19^th century.

”You’ve got to ask yourself why the same thing won’t happen again.”

He said recent events had been a turning point in China’s relationship with the world.

First was the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank which challenged the United States’ leadership of world financial institutions.

And within the last few months, “weeks even”, China’s actions in the South China Sea have directly challenged the United States post War primacy in the region.

“By deliberately acting so assertively and with armed force against the interests of United States’ friends and allies in the region, China is challenging America’s capacity to exercise its maritime power and the effect is to undermine the United States capacity to protect its friends and allies.”

But Professor White said China was not acting recklessly.

“They think the United States is going to back off.”

He said the escalating rivalry between China and the US was not something for the future.

“It is what is happening right now.”

What made it more dangerous was the United States also thinking China would back down.

Turning to Australia and New Zealand he said their approach to China had diverged over recent years.

New Zealand’s attitude had been more globally focussed whilst Australia had been more regionally focussed.

Australia was also part of ANZUS which President Obama had confirmed to the Australian Parliament was now a Treaty aimed at China.

But he said Australia was in denial and was trying to work both sides of the street.

However he thought the two countries would now come closer together on policy towards China.

“We want the United States and China to do a deal,” he said.

“It will be very hard and require real concessions [particularly about the US role in the region.”

China was a recurring theme at the School which attracted a host of academics and diplomats all looking sat New Zealand’s role in the world.

That New Zealand assumes the Presidency of the Security Council this Wednesday gave many of the discussions a real focus.

And some speakers contested the idea that New Zealand was a small country.

Professor Patrick Koellner from Germany’s Institute of Global and Asian Studies pointed out that if it was in Europe it would the eight biggest land area in the European Union.  

But it was Professor White who possibly sounded the most urgent alarm about New Zealand’s foreign policy.

The world’s next great power rivalry was happening right in our own region.A top expert on the US- China relationship says New Zealand and Australia do not want to have to choose between the two countries.

Hugh White is the Professor of Strategic Studies at the Australia National University and the author of numerous studies on China’s role in Asia and a frequent visitor to New Zealand told the 50^th Otago University Foreign Policy School over the weekend that we were now seeing the greatest redistribution of wealth in the world since the industrial revolution.

Within 15 years China’s economy could surpass that of America.

“And in the end wealth is power,” he said.

And he said that was how Britain came to dominate global politics during the 19^th century.

”You’ve got to ask yourself why the same thing won’t happen again.”

He said recent events had been a turning point in China’s relationship with the world.

First was the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank which challenged the United States’ leadership of world financial institutions.

And within the last few months, “weeks even”, China’s actions in the South China Sea have directly challenged the United States post War primacy in the region.

“By deliberately acting so assertively and with armed force against the interests of United States’ friends and allies in the region, China is challenging America’s capacity to exercise its maritime power and the effect is to undermine the United States capacity to protect its friends and allies.”

But Professor White said China was not acting recklessly.

“They think the United States is going to back off.”

He said the escalating rivalry between China and the US was not something for the future.

“It is what is happening right now.”

What made it more dangerous was the United States also thinking China would back down.

Turning to Australia and New Zealand he said their approach to China had diverged over recent years.

New Zealand’s attitude had been more globally focussed whilst Australia had been more regionally focussed.

Australia was also part of ANZUS which President Obama had confirmed to the Australian Parliament was now a Treaty aimed at China.

But he said Australia was in denial and was trying to work both sides of the street.

However he thought the two countries would now come closer together on policy towards China.

“We want the United States and China to do a deal,” he said.

“It will be very hard and require real concessions [particularly about the US role in the region.”

China was a recurring theme at the School which attracted a host of academics and diplomats all looking sat New Zealand’s role in the world.

That New Zealand assumes the Presidency of the Security Council this Wednesday gave many of the discussions a real focus.

And some speakers contested the idea that New Zealand was a small country.

Professor Patrick Koellner from Germany’s Institute of Global and Asian Studies pointed out that if it was in Europe it would the eight biggest land area in the European Union.  

But it was Professor White who possibly sounded the most urgent alarm about New Zealand’s foreign policy.

The world’s next great power rivalry was happening right in our own region.A top expert on the US- China relationship says New Zealand and Australia do not want to have to choose between the two countries.

Hugh White is the Professor of Strategic Studies at the Australia National University and the author of numerous studies on China’s role in Asia and a frequent visitor to New Zealand told the 50^th Otago University Foreign Policy School over the weekend that we were now seeing the greatest redistribution of wealth in the world since the industrial revolution.

Within 15 years China’s economy could surpass that of America.

“And in the end wealth is power,” he said.

And he said that was how Britain came to dominate global politics during the 19^th century.

”You’ve got to ask yourself why the same thing won’t happen again.”

He said recent events had been a turning point in China’s relationship with the world.

First was the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank which challenged the United States’ leadership of world financial institutions.

And within the last few months, “weeks even”, China’s actions in the South China Sea have directly challenged the United States post War primacy in the region.

“By deliberately acting so assertively and with armed force against the interests of United States’ friends and allies in the region, China is challenging America’s capacity to exercise its maritime power and the effect is to undermine the United States capacity to protect its friends and allies.”

But Professor White said China was not acting recklessly.

“They think the United States is going to back off.”

He said the escalating rivalry between China and the US was not something for the future.

“It is what is happening right now.”

What made it more dangerous was the United States also thinking China would back down.

Turning to Australia and New Zealand he said their approach to China had diverged over recent years.

New Zealand’s attitude had been more globally focussed whilst Australia had been more regionally focussed.

Australia was also part of ANZUS which President Obama had confirmed to the Australian Parliament was now a Treaty aimed at China.

But he said Australia was in denial and was trying to work both sides of the street.

However he thought the two countries would now come closer together on policy towards China.

“We want the United States and China to do a deal,” he said.

“It will be very hard and require real concessions [particularly about the US role in the region.”

China was a recurring theme at the School which attracted a host of academics and diplomats all looking sat New Zealand’s role in the world.

That New Zealand assumes the Presidency of the Security Council this Wednesday gave many of the discussions a real focus.

And some speakers contested the idea that New Zealand was a small country.

Professor Patrick Koellner from Germany’s Institute of Global and Asian Studies pointed out that if it was in Europe it would the eight biggest land area in the European Union.  

But it was Professor White who possibly sounded the most urgent alarm about New Zealand’s foreign policy.

The world’s next great power rivalry was happening right in our own region.A top expert on the US- China relationship says New Zealand and Australia do not want to have to choose between the two countries.

Hugh White is the Professor of Strategic Studies at the Australia National University and the author of numerous studies on China’s role in Asia and a frequent visitor to New Zealand told the 50^th Otago University Foreign Policy School over the weekend that we were now seeing the greatest redistribution of wealth in the world since the industrial revolution.

Within 15 years China’s economy could surpass that of America.

“And in the end wealth is power,” he said.

And he said that was how Britain came to dominate global politics during the 19^th century.

”You’ve got to ask yourself why the same thing won’t happen again.”

He said recent events had been a turning point in China’s relationship with the world.

First was the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank which challenged the United States’ leadership of world financial institutions.

And within the last few months, “weeks even”, China’s actions in the South China Sea have directly challenged the United States post War primacy in the region.

“By deliberately acting so assertively and with armed force against the interests of United States’ friends and allies in the region, China is challenging America’s capacity to exercise its maritime power and the effect is to undermine the United States capacity to protect its friends and allies.”

But Professor White said China was not acting recklessly.

“They think the United States is going to back off.”

He said the escalating rivalry between China and the US was not something for the future.

“It is what is happening right now.”

What made it more dangerous was the United States also thinking China would back down.

Turning to Australia and New Zealand he said their approach to China had diverged over recent years.

New Zealand’s attitude had been more globally focussed whilst Australia had been more regionally focussed.

Australia was also part of ANZUS which President Obama had confirmed to the Australian Parliament was now a Treaty aimed at China.

But he said Australia was in denial and was trying to work both sides of the street.

However he thought the two countries would now come closer together on policy towards China.

“We want the United States and China to do a deal,” he said.

“It will be very hard and require real concessions [particularly about the US role in the region.”

China was a recurring theme at the School which attracted a host of academics and diplomats all looking sat New Zealand’s role in the world.

That New Zealand assumes the Presidency of the Security Council this Wednesday gave many of the discussions a real focus.

And some speakers contested the idea that New Zealand was a small country.

Professor Patrick Koellner from Germany’s Institute of Global and Asian Studies pointed out that if it was in Europe it would the eight biggest land area in the European Union.  

But it was Professor White who possibly sounded the most urgent alarm about New Zealand’s foreign policy.